According to their report, by May 18, the situation with the spread of the virus in Ukraine will improve by 97% compared to the peak, by May 28 – by 99%, and the pandemic will finally end on July 7, Channel 24 writes.
Also on the topic: Will quarantine be extended after May 11: forecast
At the same time, according to experts from Singapore, the "tipping point" has already arrived in Ukraine – this happened on April 21. To make their forecast, SUTD researchers studied data from 131 countries and used a mathematical model for the spread of coronavirus infection, which takes into account the dynamics of both infected and recovered.
Coronavirus pandemic in Ukraine will end soon / ddi.sutd.edu.sg
Analysts also said that in the US, the outbreak of coronavirus will end on September 5, the UK on August 20, Germany on August 5, in France on August 8, in Italy on August 30 and in Russia on August 19.
If we take the world averages, the pandemic will end on October 20.
The pandemic will be in the world until October 20 / ddi.sutd.edu.sg
The longest epidemic will continue in Bahrain – until April 6, 2021.
However, the authors of the study note that any forecasts should be treated with caution, and warn of the dangers of "excessive optimism."
Note that the government predicts the peak of the pandemic in Ukraine on May 3-8. May 12, Ukraine is preparing for the first phase of quarantine exit. However, if the relaxation of restrictions leads to a new outbreak of coronavirus, they will be strengthened again.
When the coronavirus epidemic ends (click to enlarge) /ddi.sutd.edu.sg
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