About this writes the publication The Guardian, citing the words of the leading epidemiologist for health in Hong Kong, Gabriel Leung.
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His warnings came after the head of WHO announced that recently discovered cases of coronavirus in patients who had never been to China could be just the tip of the iceberg.
Therefore, the main task is to establish the size and shape of the iceberg. Most experts believe that every infected person can transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people. This means that the "attack level" is 60-80%.
Sixty percent of the world's population is an extremely large number,
– said the professor during a meeting of experts at the WHO in Geneva.
According to the scientist, the main problem is the scale of the global epidemic, and there is also a need to find out if the harsh methods (closing cities, quarantines, etc.) of China worked and restrained the spread of the virus. If they did not work, then probably the coronavirus will be impossible to contain.
The professor at the end of January warned of an outbreak. He believes that "independent, self-sufficient outbreaks in large cities around the world" may begin. All because of travel and regular movements of those people who are infected with coronavirus, but do not yet have symptoms of the disease.
"Will 60-80% of the world's population really be infected? Maybe not. Maybe everything will happen in waves. Perhaps the mortality of the virus will decrease. After all, killing everyone in its path, it dies itself," the scientist added.
The latest data on the spread of the Chinese virus:
As of February 11, 1018 people died from viral pneumonia, which was provoked by coronavirus. The total number of infected people is about 45 thousand worldwide. About 9% of those infected die from the disease. The World Health Organization has declared a global health emergency. In Ukraine, not a single case of suspected coronavirus has been confirmed. Group tours were temporarily stopped in China. The Ukrainian Embassy in China advises to refrain from traveling to countries where the epidemic is raging.
Myths and Truth About Coronavirus / 24 Channel Infographics
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